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General
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Circle of Competence
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Maps vs. Territory
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Second order of thinking
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Inversion
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One-way vs two-way decision making
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Occam's Razor
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Reversable vs. Irreversable decisions
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First Principles' Thinking
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Via Negativa
(addition through subtraction) -
Lindy Effect
​Psychology
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Incentives
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Agency problem/costs
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Tragedy of commons
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Cognitive Dissonance
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Anchoring
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Illusion of understanding
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Loss aversion
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Retrospective Distortion
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Halo Effect
​Numeracy
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Compounding
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Averages (mediocre vs. extreme)
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Multiplying by zero
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Churn
- Law of small numbers
- Law of large numbers​
Physics & Chemistry
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Leverage
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Laws of Thermodynamics
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Reciprocity
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Catalysts
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Inertia​
​Engineering
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Margin of Safety
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Back-up systems & redundency
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Network effects​
​Probability
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Black Swans & Randomness
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Pareto (80/20)
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Permutation & Combination
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Bell curve & normal distribution
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Regression to the mean
Biases & Fallacies
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Sunk-Cost Fallacy
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Hindsight Bias
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Confirmation Bias
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Narrative Fallacy
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Ludic Fallacy
- Envy​
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